Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?

Resolved

No, settled Apr 20, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$16.0K

Resolved

Settled

Apr 20, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 20 Apr 2026.

$15.97K traded over the market's life.

22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Apr 21, 4:32 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history unavailable

No price has been recorded for this market yet, so there is nothing to chart.

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	3.71K
0xRocket666	Yes	200
cry.eth2	Yes	90.16
KELBI	Yes	45.72
Spirit-LT	Yes	40
jobminimizer	Yes	31.25
Second-Hand-Presume	Yes	30
Neat-Robot	Yes	20
Mojito9	Yes	15
BetWinner69	Yes	10

10 of 22 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.