Analytics
Resolved Yes on 31 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 73.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 23 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 23 May 2026 to 31 May 2026, the highest close was 79% on 27 May 2026 and the lowest 50.5% on 23 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 75.5% on 24 May 2026. $407.5 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 1, 3:49 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 23 May 2026 – 31 May 2026, chart shows 40%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 May 2026 | 50.5% |
| 31 May 2026 | 73.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 576.89 |
| 09F911029D74 | No | 200 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 24, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-major-space-weather-events-this-week-may-24-may-30
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