Analytics
Resolved Yes on 24 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.6%. Yes opened at 99.1% on 22 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 22 Apr 2026 to 24 Apr 2026, the highest close was 99.6% on 24 Apr 2026 and the lowest 99.1% on 22 Apr 2026. $21.78K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 25, 4:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 24 Apr 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | 99.1% |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 99.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Edible-Soldier | No | 1.64K |
| Stelian5 | No | 883.35 |
| Focused-Intestine | No | 138.37 |
| 35sfddsfsfds | No | 88.21 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/measles-cases-in-us-by-april-30
| bjprolo | No | 60 |
| 0xMIX | No | 10 |
| Neon Ledger 71B2 | No | 0.11 |
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