Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Nov 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 65% on 5 Oct 2023. Before it settled, across the 46 daily closes on record from 5 Oct 2023 to 19 Nov 2023, the highest close was 68.5% on 8 Oct 2023 and the lowest 0.1% on 18 Nov 2023. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 3.5% on 15 Nov 2023. $275.77K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 20, 6:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 46 points, 5 Oct 2023 – 19 Nov 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2023 | 65.0% |
| 19 Nov 2023 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| furi | Yes | 200 |
| moneybeast | Yes | 45 |
| Pasteuriser | No | 40 |
| Horger | No | 14.04 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if is a US government shutdown occurs between October 4 and November 19, 2023, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary a US government shutdown occurs, whether it is a partial shutdown, or a full shutdown. If the US federal government goes unfunded for any period of time before a new budget/stopgap can be signed into law, it will be considered a government shutdown. The primary resolution for this source will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-a-us-government-shutdown-by-november-19
| abra0 | Yes | 7.69 |
| yamaaaaaa | No | 1.03 |
| guP | Yes | 0.07 |
| ikun | Yes | 0.06 |
| vtb | Yes | 0.06 |
| Scipio Fabius | No | 0.05 |
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