Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Jan 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 55.5% on 12 Jan 2024. Before it settled, the high was 55.5% on 12 Jan 2024 and the low 0.1% on 20 Jan 2024. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 19.5% on 13 Jan 2024. $124.89K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 21, 7:49 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 12 Jan 2024 – 20 Jan 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jan 2024 | 55.5% |
| 20 Jan 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if is a US government shutdown occurs between January 9 and January 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary a US government shutdown occurs, whether it is a partial shutdown, or a full shutdown. If the US federal government goes unfunded for any period of time before a new budget/stopgap can be signed into law, it will be considered a government shutdown. The primary resolution for this source will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-a-us-government-shutdown-by-jan-20
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