Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95%. Yes opened at 21% on 17 Feb 2023. Before it settled, across the 311 daily closes on record from 17 Feb 2023 to 1 Jan 2024 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 33% on 25 Feb 2023 and the lowest 1% on 4 Dec 2023. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 33% on 25 Feb 2023. $5.85K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 8:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 311 points, 17 Feb 2023 – 1 Jan 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Feb 2023 | 21.0% |
| 1 Jan 2024 | 5.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Swift Voyager A731 | Yes | 30.5K |
| 21kjsij2kl23 | Yes | 434.78 |
| P K | Yes | 50 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a vacancy in one or both of the seats for United States Senator from Pennsylvania between February 16 and December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a Senator from Pennsylvania announces they are retiring or otherwise resigning from their seat, but it doesn't take effect until after this market's timeframe, it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". Only an actual vacancy in one or both of the seats for United States Senator from Pennsylvania in effect by the resolution date will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Senate, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-a-senate-vacancy-in-pennsylvania-by-eoy
| Meek-Diagram | Yes | 20 |
| testing43433434 | Yes | 0.62 |
| Deadly-Afterlife | No | 0.11 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
