Analytics
Resolved Yes on 29 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.7%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 12 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 12 Jun 2026 to 29 Jun 2026, the highest close was 98.8% on 25 Jun 2026 and the lowest 51.5% on 12 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 43 points up, to 95% on 13 Jun 2026. $2.65K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 3:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 12 Jun 2026 – 29 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2026 | 51.5% |
| 29 Jun 2026 | 98.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Shameful-Specialty | No | 407.44 |
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| Scarce-Chive | No | 32.32 |
| hesure | No | 25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of on-field decisions overturned following a Video Assistant Referee (VAR) review during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A VAR overturn is counted each time an on-field decision is changed as a result of a VAR review. Reviews that confirm the original decision do not count. Decisions that may be reviewed and/or overturned by VAR are as follows: Goal/no goal, Penalty kick/no penalty kick, Red cards (including but not limited to: incorrect second yellow), Mistaken identity regarding a disciplinary action (https://www.theifab.com/laws/latest/video-assistant-referee-var-protocol/#reviewable-decisions-incidents). Only initial calls on the field reviewed by VAR and later overturned during the match will be considered toward the final count. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, without the listed total being met, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA and official broadcast partners; however, a consensus of credible reporting (including Opta data) may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-number-of-var-decision-overturns-20260611151401789
| triklozoid | No | 15 |
| Mojito9 | No | 14.7 |
| KTN89 | No | 5 |
| intdtghy5 | No | 5 |
| 61sfds | No | 0.21 |
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