Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Dec 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 60% on 28 Sep 2023. Before it settled, across the 65 daily closes on record from 28 Sep 2023 to 1 Dec 2023, the highest close was 75% on 23 Oct 2023 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Dec 2023. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 60% on 15 Oct 2023. $38.05K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 1, 7:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 65 points, 28 Sep 2023 – 1 Dec 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2023 | 60.0% |
| 1 Dec 2023 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vikas Kumar | Yes | 111.11 |
| Rapid Pioneer 757C | Yes | 40 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Resolution source: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-named-storms-during-atlantic-hurricane-season
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