Will there be 16 or more inches of snow in NYC in January?

Resolved

No, settled Feb 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$8.0K

Resolved

Settled

Feb 1, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Feb 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.5%. Yes opened at 18% on 22 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 22 Jan 2026 to 1 Feb 2026, the highest close was 32.5% on 27 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 31 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 9.5% on 28 Jan 2026. $8.01K traded over the market's life.

23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 4:23 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 22 Jan 2026 – 1 Feb 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
22 Jan 2026	18.0%
1 Feb 2026	2.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	2.38K
ProbablyPomPom	Yes	250
20cents	Yes	199.99
flow-trader-at-optiver	Yes	117

10 of 23 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the total snowfall in Central Park, New York City in January 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for January 2026 under "New Snow (IN)" when the "Daily data for a month" for "NY-Central Park Area" is selected at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized all the days of January. If no data is available by February 28, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.