Will there be 15-17 inches of snow in D.C. in January?

Resolved

No, settled Feb 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$16.0K

Resolved

Settled

Feb 1, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Feb 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 20% on 24 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 24 Jan 2026 to 1 Feb 2026, the highest close was 34.5% on 26 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 10.5% on 27 Jan 2026. $15.97K traded over the market's life.

22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 4:23 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 24 Jan 2026 – 1 Feb 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
24 Jan 2026	20.0%
1 Feb 2026	0.3%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	3.49K
Emerald Pioneer D14A	Yes	703
Bold Scout BD7E	Yes	400
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	367.99

10 of 22 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the total snowfall in Washington D.C. for January 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figures for January 2026 under "New Snow (IN)" when the "Daily data for a month" for "Washington Area" is selected at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=lwx link once that figure is finalized for the specified timeframe. If no data is available by February 28, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.