
Resolved No on 16 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 73%. Yes opened at 51% on 10 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 10 Feb 2026 to 16 Feb 2026, the highest close was 53% on 11 Feb 2026 and the lowest 27% on 16 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 27% on 16 Feb 2026. $452.1K traded over the market's life.
324 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 17, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 10 Feb 2026 – 16 Feb 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Feb 2026 | 51.0% |
| 16 Feb 2026 | 27.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 96.28K |
| RebornAthena | Yes | 14.34K |
| Quantumkobe360 | Yes | 12K |
| HairyBallbag | Yes | 11.3K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the championship game at the 2026 NBA All-Star Game on February 15, 2026, 5:00 PM ET in Los Angeles, California. If the game is canceled, postponed after March 1, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Basketball Association (NBA).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-nba-all-star-winner
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
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