Analytics
Resolved Yes on 12 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 69% on 24 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 24 Oct 2024 to 12 Nov 2024, the highest close was 99.7% on 8 Nov 2024 and the lowest 63.5% on 6 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 99.4% on 7 Nov 2024. $256.63K traded over the market's life.
53 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 13, 8:09 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 24 Oct 2024 – 12 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2024 | 69.0% |
| 12 Nov 2024 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| JustHereForAlpha | No | 2.3K |
| hanschi86 | No | 1.71K |
| Hide8888 | No | 661.94 |
| AlvaroR | No | 599.93 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the Presidency also wins the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for the popular vote will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote. The resolution source for the winner of the Presidency will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-winning-candidate-also-win-the-popular-vote
| creamyman123 | No | 500 |
| niclas | No | 428.99 |
| Damian1443 | No | 398.09 |
| kaniutek | No | 322.58 |
| Cookie6280 | No | 322.48 |
| bropacman | No | 300 |
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