Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 6% on 9 Feb 2023. Before it settled, across the 133 daily closes on record from 9 Feb 2023 to 1 Jul 2023 (10 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 52% on 28 Feb 2023 and the lowest 0.5% on 13 May 2023. Its largest one-day move was 49 points down, to 3% on 1 Mar 2023. $5.06K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 5:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 133 points, 9 Feb 2023 – 1 Jul 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Feb 2023 | 6.0% |
| 1 Jul 2023 | 1.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Azure Comet 46A1 | Yes | 745.92K |
| Impure-Bamboo | Yes | 110 |
| Jade Atlas 64FA | Yes | 0.17 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) for H5N1 influenza by June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements made by the WHO (e.g. statements released on their official website, https://www.who.int/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.who.int/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-who-declare-a-public-health-emergency-for-h5n1-influenza-by-june-30
| Yes |
| 0.04 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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