Analytics
Resolved Yes on 10 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 93.7%. Yes opened at 46.5% on 1 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 1 May 2026 to 10 May 2026, the highest close was 93.7% on 10 May 2026 and the lowest 23% on 9 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 71 points up, to 93.7% on 10 May 2026. $2.22K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 11, 4:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 1 May 2026 – 10 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 May 2026 | 46.5% |
| 10 May 2026 | 93.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| triklozoid | No | 50 |
| hesure | No | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the White House Press Office calls a full lid by 6:30 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-white-house-call-a-full-lid-by-630-pm-may-4-9
| snookiemookie | No | 12.89 |
| Mojito9 | No | 10 |
| Crimson Tide 6AB1 | Yes | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
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