Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 8?

Resolved

No, settled Jul 9, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.5K

Resolved

Settled

Jul 9, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 9 Jul 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 98%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 5 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 5 Jul 2026 to 9 Jul 2026, the highest close was 49% on 6 Jul 2026 and the lowest 2% on 9 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 2% on 9 Jul 2026. $1.52K traded over the market's life.

4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 10, 4:36 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 5 Jul 2026 – 9 Jul 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
5 Jul 2026	48.5%
9 Jul 2026	2.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
massive-pp	Yes	40
4fee-s3	Yes	20
rocketcrypto	Yes	5
GiuliaRusso12	Yes	4.65

4 of 4 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the White House Press Office calls a full lid by 6:30 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).