Analytics
Resolved Yes on 31 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 52.5%. Yes opened at 38% on 25 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 25 Jul 2026 to 31 Jul 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 52.5% on 31 Jul 2026 and the lowest 38% on 25 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 49% on 26 Jul 2026. $305.14 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 1, 12:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 25 Jul 2026 – 31 Jul 2026, chart shows 35%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2026 | 38.0% |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 52.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 09F911029D74 | No | 199.99 |
| bjprolo | No | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
| WMNB | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-white-house-call-a-full-lid-by-630-pm-july-27-august-1-20260724143914330
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