Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 17?

Resolved

Yes, settled Aug 19, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$429

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Aug 19, 2026 UTC

Topic roomTrump and the White House

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 19 Aug 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 15 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 15 Aug 2026 to 19 Aug 2026, the highest close was 100% on 19 Aug 2026 and the lowest 43.5% on 15 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 52 points up, to 99.6% on 18 Aug 2026. $428.6 traded over the market's life.

4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 15 Aug 2026 – 19 Aug 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
15 Aug 2026	43.5%
19 Aug 2026	100.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
.Menthe	No	50
TENETENET	No	10
bjprolo	No	5
triklozoid	No	5

4 of 4 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).