Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 26 Sep 2024. Before it settled, the high was 7.5% on 26 Sep 2024 and the low 0.1% on 3 Oct 2024. $52.41K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 4, 2:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 8 points · 26 Sep 2024 – 3 Oct 2024 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2024 | 7.5% |
| 3 Oct 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Otter-KING | Yes | 13.28K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.57K |
| GekiDo | Yes | 100 |
| awr348 | Yes | 85 |
| FrostFlame | Yes | 55 |
| Kswitch | Yes | 40 |
| wiycdtmj | No | 0.07 |
| Otisgbrf | No | 0.04 |
| evvuphns | No | 0.02 |
| dccronin2 | Yes | 0.02 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the first vice presidential debate between Tim Walz and JD Vance during the 2024 election cycle. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first presidential debate between Tim Walz and JD Vance, currently scheduled for October 1, 2024 has 65,000,000 or more viewers according to Nielsen. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If a debate takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the debate within 10 days, another credible source may be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-viewers-will-the-vp-debate-get
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