Will the Volt Netherlands win the fifth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Resolved

No, settled Nov 3, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$3.3K

Resolved

Settled

Nov 3, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 3 Nov 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 1.5% on 30 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2025 to 3 Nov 2025, the highest close was 1.5% on 30 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 2 Nov 2025. $3.3K traded over the market's life.

12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Nov 3, 4:14 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 30 Oct 2025 – 3 Nov 2025, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
30 Oct 2025	1.5%
3 Nov 2025	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	8K
wokerjoesleeper	Yes	1.31K
Crimson Falcon C79A	Yes	607.43
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	588

10 of 12 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The ruling coalition of the Netherlands collapsed on June 3, 2025. New parliamentary elections are scheduled for October 29, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fifth greatest number of seats in the Netherlands House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal) as a result of this election. If voting in the Netherlands election for the House does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the fifth most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Electoral Council (Kiesraad) (https://www.kiesraad.nl/). Note: If the GL/PvdA alliance splits and announce they will not run a joint list, this market will refer to the Labor Party (PvdA).