Analytics
Resolved Yes on 22 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.7%. Yes opened at 36.5% on 27 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 27 Feb 2026 to 22 Apr 2026 (20 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.7% on 22 Apr 2026 and the lowest 36.5% on 27 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 72.5% on 28 Feb 2026. $2.15M traded over the market's life.
203 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 23, 3:57 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 27 Feb 2026 – 22 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Feb 2026 | 36.5% |
| 22 Apr 2026 | 99.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026 over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”. If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-virginia-redistricting-referendum-pass
| No |
| 80.99K |
| tetrose | No | 52.15K |
| Mountainous-Allegation | No | 47.47K |
| Tender-Year | No | 44.53K |
| Coral Maven 3B72 | No | 41.94K |
| supersmard | No | 40K |
| jayum | No | 30.44K |
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