Will the US strike Somalia next?

Name: Will the US strike Somalia next? — implied probability history
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Resolved

Yes, settled Jan 27, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$12.4M

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jan 27, 2026 UTC

PricesPrice history from Polymarket's order book, daily closes, latest Jan 27, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Date	Close	Mid
Jan 27, 12:00 AM UTC	100.0%	100.0%
Jan 26, 12:00 AM UTC	100.0%	100.0%
Jan 25, 12:00 AM UTC	99.8%	99.8%
Jan 24, 12:00 AM UTC	99.7%	99.7%
Jan 23, 12:00 AM UTC	65.0%	65.0%
Jan 22, 12:00 AM UTC	65.0%	65.0%
Jan 21, 12:00 AM UTC	71.0%	71.0%
Jan 20, 12:00 AM UTC	75.5%	75.5%
Jan 19, 12:00 AM UTC	55.5%	55.5%
Jan 18, 12:00 AM UTC	63.5%	63.5%
Jan 17, 12:00 AM UTC	74.0%	74.0%

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