Will the US strike Iran next?

Name: Will the US strike Iran next? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

Resolved

No, settled Feb 12, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.2M

Resolved

Settled

Feb 12, 2026 UTC

PricesPrice history from Polymarket's order book, daily closes, latest Feb 12, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Date	Close	Mid
Feb 12, 12:00 AM UTC	0.1%	0.1%
Feb 11, 12:00 AM UTC	0.1%	0.1%
Feb 10, 12:00 AM UTC	7.0%	7.0%
Feb 9, 12:00 AM UTC	5.9%	5.9%
Feb 8, 12:00 AM UTC	3.5%	3.5%
Feb 7, 12:00 AM UTC	4.4%	4.4%
Feb 6, 12:00 AM UTC	1.8%	1.8%
Feb 5, 12:00 AM UTC	7.2%	7.2%

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