Will the US strike Iran next?

Name: Will the US strike Iran next? — implied probability history
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Resolved

No, settled Jan 24, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.2M

Resolved

Settled

Jan 24, 2026 UTC

PricesPrice history from Polymarket's order book, daily closes, latest Jan 24, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Date	Close	Mid
Jan 24, 12:00 AM UTC	0.1%	0.1%
Jan 23, 12:00 AM UTC	13.1%	13.1%
Jan 22, 12:00 AM UTC	15.3%	15.3%
Jan 21, 12:00 AM UTC	12.2%	12.2%
Jan 20, 12:00 AM UTC	8.3%	8.3%
Jan 19, 12:00 AM UTC	14.3%	14.3%
Jan 18, 12:00 AM UTC	8.1%	8.1%
Jan 17, 12:00 AM UTC	12.0%	12.0%

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