Analytics
Resolved Yes on 22 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.4%. Yes opened at 63.5% on 19 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 19 Jun 2025 to 22 Jun 2025, the highest close was 98.4% on 22 Jun 2025 and the lowest 28% on 20 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 65 points up, to 98.4% on 22 Jun 2025. $414.16K traded over the market's life.
107 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 23, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 19 Jun 2025 – 22 Jun 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Jun 2025 | 63.5% |
| 22 Jun 2025 | 98.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| letthisbelesson | No | 10.22K |
| ROAS | No | 3.91K |
| AndrewShuvalov | No | 1.78K |
| farside | No | 1.55K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. military carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. U.S. air, missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market. U.S. assistance of Israel or another country carrying out a strike, either through military aid, in-air refueling, intelligence gathering or any other action which does constitute a direct kinetic military strike will not alone qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-strike-fordow-nuclear-facility-before-july
| nicaalfred | No | 1.49K |
| ArvydasSaboner | No | 674.65 |
| Dankwizart420 | No | 576.08 |
| bEtMoRe | No | 570.94 |
| XfibreoptiqueX | No | 546.82 |
| laf1 | No | 500 |
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