Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 30 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 94 daily closes on record from 30 Jun 2026 to 1 Oct 2026, the highest close was 43.5% on 30 Jun 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 19 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 13.5% on 1 Jul 2026. $2.63K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 4:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 94 points, 30 Jun 2026 – 1 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | 43.5% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 2.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 277.3 |
| Warlike-Styling | Yes | 42.5 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 40 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a bill that, if enacted, would impose restrictions, beyond any that exist at the time of market creation, on military assistance from the United States to Israel by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-house-pass-a-bill-restricting-military-aid-to-israel-by-september-30-20260629164744619
New to prediction markets?
| PPMT |
| Yes |
| 30 |
| gonnakilmyslf | Yes | 30 |
| jfkjdfj3 | Yes | 20 |
| Ethical-Bamboo | Yes | 14 |
| the-hedgehog-2 | Yes | 10 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 10 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 9.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
