Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be 90 or more?

Resolved

No, settled Feb 20, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$5.7K

Resolved

Settled

Feb 20, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 20 Feb 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.9%. Yes opened at 2.1% on 14 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 14 Feb 2026 to 20 Feb 2026, the highest close was 4% on 17 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 16 Feb 2026. $5.72K traded over the market's life.

28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 22, 12:27 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 14 Feb 2026 – 20 Feb 2026, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
14 Feb 2026	2.1%
20 Feb 2026	1.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	223.05K
yangguang0511	Yes	344
Bold Scout BD7E	Yes	288
Emerald Pioneer D14A	Yes	276.99

10 of 28 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.