Resolved No on 7 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 88.6%. Yes opened at 46% on 1 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 1 Aug 2026 to 7 Aug 2026, the highest close was 47.5% on 2 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 5 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 18.5% on 3 Aug 2026. $629.16 traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 1 Aug 2026 – 7 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2026 | 46.0% |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 11.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 97 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 10 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week. The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Resolution source: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/flu-hospitalization-rate-week-30-2026-20260730202018839
| Weepy-Item | Yes | 5 |
| Keen Pulse 8327 | Yes | 1 |
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