Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 26 be between 85 and 90?

Resolved

Yes, settled Jul 10, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$3.3K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jul 10, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 10 Jul 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.7%. Yes opened at 50% on 4 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 4 Jul 2026 to 10 Jul 2026, the highest close was 98.9% on 9 Jul 2026 and the lowest 50% on 4 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 48 points up, to 98% on 5 Jul 2026. $3.29K traded over the market's life.

6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 11, 3:04 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 4 Jul 2026 – 10 Jul 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
4 Jul 2026	50.0%
10 Jul 2026	98.7%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Neat-Gang	No	611.35
Indigo Signal 2966	No	469.16
bjprolo	No	80
Well-Informed-Ridge	No	32.67

6 of 6 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.