Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 25 be between 85 and 90?

Resolved

Yes, settled Jul 6, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$2.9K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jul 6, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 6 Jul 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 94.5%. Yes opened at 95.5% on 27 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 6 Jul 2026, the highest close was 99.5% on 3 Jul 2026 and the lowest 94.5% on 6 Jul 2026. $2.87K traded over the market's life.

7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 7, 3:10 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 6 Jul 2026, chart shows 90%–100%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
27 Jun 2026	95.5%
6 Jul 2026	94.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	450.59
738925	No	249.06
0xRocket666	No	100
.Menthe	No	50

7 of 7 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.