Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 23 be less than 80?

Resolved

No, settled Jun 22, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$933

Resolved

Settled

Jun 22, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 22 Jun 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 40.5% on 13 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 13 Jun 2026 to 22 Jun 2026, the highest close was 40.5% on 13 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 20 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 0.7% on 14 Jun 2026. $933.06 traded over the market's life.

8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jun 22, 5:14 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 13 Jun 2026 – 22 Jun 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
13 Jun 2026	40.5%
22 Jun 2026	0.3%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	417.74
TENETENET	Yes	99.92
triklozoid	Yes	50
pd.unique	Yes	15

8 of 8 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.