Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 87.5%. Yes opened at 47% on 19 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 34 daily closes on record from 19 Dec 2025 to 21 Jan 2026, the highest close was 87.5% on 21 Jan 2026 and the lowest 46.5% on 26 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 75% on 8 Jan 2026. $4.56K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 22, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 34 points, 19 Dec 2025 – 21 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Dec 2025 | 47.0% |
| 21 Jan 2026 | 87.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 367.93 |
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 15 |
| triklozoid | No | 14.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in the U.K., before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS). This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) changed by in December 2025 (% change) according to the monthly ONS report. The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2025 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 21, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 1-month rate (%)" for the relevant month. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/december-inflation-uk-monthly
| hesure | No | 10 |
| rocket661 | No | 8 |
| DeanFranco | No | 6.76 |
| .brain. | Yes | 0.01 |
| SterileScissors | Yes | 0.01 |
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