Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 3.1% on 10 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 10 Dec 2025 to 17 Dec 2025, the highest close was 3.1% on 10 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 17 Dec 2025. $6.42K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 18, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 10 Dec 2025 – 17 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Dec 2025 | 3.1% |
| 17 Dec 2025 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| zonh | Yes | 1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 883 |
| tailevent | Yes | 600 |
| csgb | Yes | 355 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending November 2025, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS). This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by over the 12-month period ending November 2025 (% change) according to the monthly ONS report. The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for November 2025 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on December 17, 2025. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/november-inflation-uk-annual
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 336.6 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 312 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 275 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 256 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 210 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 173 |
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