Will the Turkish presidential election go to a second round?

Resolved

Yes, settled May 15, 2023 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$114.2K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

May 15, 2023 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 15 May 2023.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 93.5%. Yes opened at 58% on 11 May 2023. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 11 May 2023 to 15 May 2023 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 93.5% on 15 May 2023 and the lowest 44.5% on 13 May 2023. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 47% on 12 May 2023. $114.17K traded over the market's life.

18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 16, 1:48 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 11 May 2023 – 17 May 2023

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
11 May 2023	58.0%
17 May 2023	50.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Unaware-Barracks	No	1.39K
ezhel	No	1.04K
Elliptical-Cartilage	No	856.86
Single-Piety	No	693

10 of 18 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The 2023 Turkish general election is currently scheduled to take place on May 14, 2023. If no candidate receives a majority of votes, it will trigger a second round of voting between the two candidates which received the highest number of votes in the first round. The potential second round, if needed, is currently scheduled for May 28, 2023. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2023 Turkish presidential election requires a second round of voting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Turkish government (e.g. https://www.ysk.gov.tr/en/main-page), however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.