Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 43% on 17 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 17 daily closes on record from 17 Dec 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 49% on 20 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.8% on 31 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 43 points down, to 6.5% on 22 Dec 2025. $2.34K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 17 Dec 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2025 | 43.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 1.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 348 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 292 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 207.11 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the company in the Nasdaq-100 that achieves the lowest performance during December 2025. Performance will be measured as the percentage change in each specified security's price during this market's timeframe, calculated by comparing the closing price for the last official trading day prior to this timeframe (November 28, 2025) to the closing price for the last official trading day within this timeframe (December 31, 2025). All companies that are constituents of the Nasdaq-100 as of market issuance will be eligible for consideration, regardless of whether they are removed before the market's resolution date. Any company added to the index after market creation will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be the “Historical Quotes” page for the specified ticker on Nasdaq at: nasdaq.com. Only closing prices will be used for all calculations; total return measures will not be applied. If multiple specified companies exhibit exactly the same lowest performance, the market will resolve to the company whose ticker appears first in alphabetical order. If any unspecified company achieves the lowest performance during the relevant period, the market will resolve to “Other”. If either of the relevant trading days are shortened, the official closing price published for that session will be used. If any relevant day lacks a specified closing price, the last valid historical closing price offered by the resolution source will be used. Updates to historical prices displayed after resolution will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nasdaq-100-worst-performance-december
| Yes |
| 175 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 150 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 142.99 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 114 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 68 |
| daoxiongsi | Yes | 57.78 |
| bujitu | Yes | 56.84 |
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