Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 23 - March 29 be less than 17,500,000?

Resolved

No, settled Mar 30, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$834

Resolved

Settled

Mar 30, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 30 Mar 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 92.6%. Yes opened at 41.5% on 21 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 21 Mar 2026 to 29 Mar 2026, the highest close was 41.5% on 21 Mar 2026 and the lowest 7.4% on 29 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 17.5% on 22 Mar 2026. $834.43 traded over the market's life.

8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 31, 12:29 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 21 Mar 2026 – 29 Mar 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
21 Mar 2026	41.5%
29 Mar 2026	7.4%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
rngfxz	Yes	199.84
EfficientMarketHypothesis	No	171.12
Indigo Signal 2966	No	119.7
ffsFsfq	Yes	6.75

8 of 8 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between March 23, 2026 and March 29, 2026 (inclusive). The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million). If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for any of the dates from March 23, 2026 to March 29, 2026 by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.