Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 8 be less than 1,800,000?

Resolved

No, settled Jan 9, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$2.1K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 9, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 9 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 94.9%. Yes opened at 35.5% on 7 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 7 Jan 2026 to 9 Jan 2026, the highest close was 35.5% on 7 Jan 2026 and the lowest 3.1% on 8 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 3.1% on 8 Jan 2026. $2.09K traded over the market's life.

19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 10, 4:21 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 7 Jan 2026 – 9 Jan 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
7 Jan 2026	35.5%
9 Jan 2026	5.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	993.92
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	363
Emerald Pioneer D14A	Yes	321
Bold Scout BD7E	Yes	178

10 of 19 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on January 8, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by February 28, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.