Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 77.5%. Yes opened at 11% on 15 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 15 Jan 2026 to 22 Jan 2026, the highest close was 22.5% on 22 Jan 2026 and the lowest 10.5% on 18 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 22.5% on 22 Jan 2026. $2.56K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 23, 4:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 15 Jan 2026 – 22 Jan 2026, chart shows 5%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2026 | 11.0% |
| 22 Jan 2026 | 22.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 789.63 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 212 |
| LaBefana | Yes | 200.09 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 179 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on January 21, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by February 28, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Resolution source: https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/number-of-tsa-passengers-january-21
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 127 |
| paspor | Yes | 109.85 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| hoodguillo | Yes | 98.9 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 50 |
| tiancs | Yes | 50 |
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