Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 7% on 29 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 29 Jan 2026 to 4 Feb 2026, the highest close was 7% on 29 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.2% on 4 Feb 2026. $2.85K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 5, 4:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 29 Jan 2026 – 4 Feb 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jan 2026 | 7.0% |
| 4 Feb 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.05K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 367.95 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 327 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 302 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on February 3, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by March 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Resolution source: https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/number-of-tsa-passengers-february-3
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 226 |
| gyyuy | Yes | 192.03 |
| litbili | Yes | 180.6 |
| stockc | Yes | 166.41 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 121 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 99.99 |
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