Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 30 be between 2,500,000 and 2,750,000?

Resolved

No, settled Dec 31, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$926

Resolved

Settled

Dec 31, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 31 Dec 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 66.5%. Yes opened at 44.5% on 24 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 24 Dec 2025 to 31 Dec 2025, the highest close was 44.5% on 24 Dec 2025 and the lowest 32.5% on 30 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 36% on 25 Dec 2025. $925.88 traded over the market's life.

5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 4:32 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 24 Dec 2025 – 31 Dec 2025, chart shows 30%–50%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
24 Dec 2025	44.5%
31 Dec 2025	33.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	816.09
t189	Yes	100
rocketcrypto	Yes	15
Rural-Sleuth	Yes	8.11

5 of 5 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on December 30, 2025. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by January 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.