Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 25 be greater than 2,750,000?

Resolved

No, settled Dec 29, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$3.8K

Resolved

Settled

Dec 29, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 29 Dec 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 19.5% on 24 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 24 Dec 2025 to 29 Dec 2025, the highest close was 19.5% on 24 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 0.9% on 25 Dec 2025. $3.79K traded over the market's life.

15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Dec 30, 4:32 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 24 Dec 2025 – 29 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–25%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
24 Dec 2025	19.5%
29 Dec 2025	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	410
Indigo Signal 2966	No	326.71
Emerald Pioneer D14A	Yes	240.84
Crimson Vector F03A	Yes	190.63

10 of 15 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on December 25, 2025. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by January 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.