Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 20 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 20 Dec 2025 to 29 Dec 2025, the highest close was 47.5% on 20 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 28 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 14.5% on 21 Dec 2025. $3.19K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 30, 4:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 20 Dec 2025 – 29 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2025 | 47.5% |
| 29 Dec 2025 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.24K |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 394 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 371.91 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 237 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between December 22 and December 28, 2025 (inclusive). The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million). If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for any of the dates from December 22, 2025 to December 28, 2025 by January 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/number-of-tsa-passengers-december-22-28
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 174.99 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 138.31 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 73.58 |
| Keen Oracle 60E1 | Yes | 49.84 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 15 |
| AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes | 10 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
