Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 48% on 20 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 20 Dec 2025 to 30 Dec 2025, the highest close was 48% on 20 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 13% on 21 Dec 2025. $13.69K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 31, 12:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 20 Dec 2025 – 30 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2025 | 48.0% |
| 30 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.24K |
| Worthwhile-Specialist | Yes | 1.01K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 395 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 183 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between December 22 and December 28, 2025 (inclusive). The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million). If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for any of the dates from December 22, 2025 to December 28, 2025 by January 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/number-of-tsa-passengers-december-22-28
| gtsab | Yes | 133.41 |
| dewjndjw | Yes | 131.17 |
| roboman | Yes | 128.58 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 90.98 |
| nomorewars1776 | Yes | 89 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 75.01 |
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