Analytics
Resolved Yes on 27 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 48.5%. Yes opened at 40% on 22 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 22 Apr 2026 to 27 Apr 2026, the highest close was 48.5% on 26 Apr 2026 and the lowest 40% on 22 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7 points up, to 48.5% on 26 Apr 2026. $357.63 traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 12:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 27 Apr 2026, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | 40.0% |
| 27 Apr 2026 | 48.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 222.51 |
| hesure | No | 20 |
| Infatuated-Convenience | No | 10 |
| Mojito9 | No | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between April 20, 2026 and April 26, 2026 (inclusive). The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million). If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for any of the dates from April 20, 2026 to April 26, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/number-of-tsa-passengers-april-20-april-26
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
| NoLoyaltyToTheBosses | No | 4.95 |
| Keen Lynx 0B73 | No | 3.86 |
| OmaJane | Yes | 0.1 |
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