Analytics
Yes is at 0.5%, down 12 points from 13% when the market opened on 24 Sep 2026.
Across the 33 daily closes on record from 24 Sep 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 13% on 24 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 16 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.7%; a month before, 2.4%. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 7.5% on 25 Sep 2026.
970 - 975m ranks second of the 6 outcomes in “"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by October 31?”. <970m leads at 98.4%; 975 - 980m is at 0.5%.
$8.64K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.23K, with a 0.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 133 trades, $137.16 bought Yes and $2.99K bought No.
The largest Yes position is fanat12 with 4.3K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 6.6K. Ten wallets hold 94.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 31 Oct 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 24 Sep 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Sep 2026 | 13.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.62K |
| fanat12 | Yes | 4.35K |
| YourAnimeGirl | Yes | 414 |
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by October 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and October 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including October 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spider-man-brand-new-day-total-domestic-gross-by-october-31
| Dr.PNL |
| Yes |
| 362.07 |
| Insidious-Maelstrom | Yes | 251.08 |
| thetravelguy | Yes | 218.86 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 131.01 |
| obpq | Yes | 125 |
| donthackme | Yes | 113.19 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 102 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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