Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 91.5%. Yes opened at 25% on 26 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 147 daily closes on record from 26 Aug 2025 to 18 Jan 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 1 Oct 2025 and the lowest 6.5% on 4 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 48% on 8 Sep 2025. $22.25K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 19, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 147 points, 26 Aug 2025 – 18 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Aug 2025 | 25.0% |
| 18 Jan 2026 | 8.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LukeGamma | Yes | 1.7K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 244.85 |
| NotJohnChungus | Yes | 200 |
This is a polymarket to predict which state the team that wins the 2025-26 NFL Super Bowl will be from. If a team who plays in the listed state wins the Super Bowl, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the Super Bowl is canceled or not completed by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/super-bowl-winning-state
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| renaissance-man | Yes | 100 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| paas2 | Yes | 30 |
| Amber Horizon 6EB5 | Yes | 20 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 14.99 |
| TheFinalPercent | Yes | 10 |
| yzhaobk | Yes | 7.09 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
