Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 0.4% on 10 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 10 Jan 2025 to 11 Jan 2025, the price held at 0.4%. $33.05K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 8:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 10 Jan 2025 – 11 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2025 | 0.4% |
| 11 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Reeko | Yes | 400 |
| BRANDoNRiCHArDS-912 | No | 0.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Sunset fire in California reaches Hollywood Boulevard by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” It will be sufficient if the Sunset fire reaches Hollywood Boulevard to resolve this market "Yes". It does not need to cross Hollywood Boulevard. The Primary resolution source is official updates from the fire map at https://www.fire.ca.gov/. However, a consensus of credible reporting or video/photo evidence released before the resolution date confirming the fire has reached Hollywood Boulevard may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-sunset-wildfire-reach-hollywood-blvd-by-friday
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