Will The Subway (Chappell Roan) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Resolved

No, settled Feb 2, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$13.9K

Resolved

Settled

Feb 2, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 2 Feb 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.4%. Yes opened at 10% on 18 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 78 daily closes on record from 18 Nov 2025 to 2 Feb 2026, the highest close was 10.5% on 19 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 18 Jan 2026. $13.86K traded over the market's life.

36 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 3, 8:21 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 78 points, 18 Nov 2025 – 2 Feb 2026, chart shows 0%–15%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
18 Nov 2025	10.0%
2 Feb 2026	1.6%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	12.8K
arbitragearbitragearbitrage	Yes	1.33K
predictgeek	Yes	800

10 of 36 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 7, 2025, and the ceremony for February 1, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed track that wins Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed track that comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.