Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 90%. Yes opened at 38% on 18 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 18 Dec 2024 to 6 Jan 2025, the highest close was 38% on 18 Dec 2024 and the lowest 2.5% on 27 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 4.5% on 19 Dec 2024. $5.86K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 7, 3:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 18 Dec 2024 – 6 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Dec 2024 | 38.0% |
| 6 Jan 2025 | 10.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.75K |
| DeWindhazen | Yes | 170 |
| Politics-885 | Yes | 108.03 |
| skitzor | Yes | 86.57 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market group over who will win the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay - Motion Picture.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/golden-globes-best-screenplay
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Silver Oracle 0CDF | Yes | 29.87 |
