Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 18 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 18 Feb 2026 to 25 Feb 2026, the highest close was 6.2% on 19 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 25 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.1 points down, to 0.7% on 24 Feb 2026. $80.86K traded over the market's life.
43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 26, 8:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 18 Feb 2026 – 25 Feb 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Feb 2026 | 5.5% |
| 25 Feb 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ballsandasshole | Yes | 4.31K |
| JimmyApplefield | Yes | 1.8K |
| Simplistic-Examiner | Yes | 401.59 |
| Tepid-Affair | Yes | 312.83 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the State of the Union address is delayed beyond or otherwise does not take place by February 24, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement from the White House, the Speaker of the House, or congressional leadership confirming postponement or cancellation beyond this date will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-state-of-the-union-address-be-delayed
| roboman | Yes | 283.1 |
| Rosy-Marten | Yes | 239.41 |
| Bleak-Anywhere | Yes | 162.24 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 157 |
| MoistTaco | Yes | 121.65 |
| Reliable-Motor | Yes | 102.55 |
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