Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the March meeting?

Resolved

Yes, settled Mar 26, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Mar 26, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 26 Mar 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 91.8%. Yes opened at 28.5% on 24 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 59 daily closes on record from 24 Jan 2026 to 26 Mar 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 92.5% on 21 Mar 2026 and the lowest 20% on 31 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 87.5% on 14 Mar 2026.

26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 27, 4:06 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 59 points, 24 Jan 2026 – 26 Mar 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
24 Jan 2026	28.5%
26 Mar 2026	91.8%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	993.07
wsdg	No	831.95
bianbaba	No	773.49

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s March Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its March 26, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their March 26, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.